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Indonesia plans to execute B40 in January
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In that case, costs might rally 10%-15% in Jan-March, Mielke says
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B40 will require additional 3 mln lots feedstock, GAPKI states
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Malaysia palm oil criteria at highest considering that mid-2022
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India might [withdraw import](https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/ipos/overview?dealId=804419-65608) tax hike in the middle of inflation, Mistry states
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(Adds analyst remarks, updates Malaysia's palm oil benchmark rate)
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By Bernadette Christina
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NUSA DUA, Indonesia, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Indonesia's palm oil output is anticipated to recover in 2025 after an expected drop this year, however rates are expected to stay raised due to planned expansion of the country's [biodiesel](https://www.zoominfo.com/c/mission-newenergy/346542889) mandate, industry experts said.
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The palm oil criteria price in Malaysia has increased more than 35% this year, lifted by sluggish output and Indonesia's plan to increase the mandatory domestic [biodiesel](https://biodieselmagazine.com/articles/felda-global-buys-missions-kuantan-port-plant-for-11-5-million-9053) mix to 40% in January from 35% now in an effort to [reduce fuel](https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/159352/mission-newenergy-debt-free-focused-on-biofuel-joint-venture-60797.html) imports.
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Palm oil output next year in leading producer Indonesia is expected to recover by 1.5 million metric lots compared with an [estimated drop](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1463471/000165495419013063/R31.htm) of just over a million tons this year, Julian McGill, managing director at Glenauk Economics, [informed](https://www.proactiveinvestors.com.au/ASX:MBT/Mission-NewEnergy-Ltd) the Indonesia Palm Oil Conference on Friday.
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Thomas Mielke, head of Hamburg-based research study company Oil World, stated he palm oil production to increase by as much as 2 million heaps next year after a 2.5 million load drop in 2024.
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While Indonesia's output is anticipated to improve, provide from in other places and of other vegetable oils is seen tightening up.
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Palm oil output in neighbouring Malaysia is anticipated to dip slightly next year after [increasing](https://www.businessnews.com.au/Company/Mission-NewEnergy) by an approximated 1 million lots in 2024.
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"We would require a recovery in palm in 2025 since combined exports of soya, sunflower and rapeseed oils are declining," Mielke stated.
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'FRIGHTENING' PRICE SURGE
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The cost surge in palm oil in the previous seven weeks has been "frightening" for purchasers, Mielke said, including that it would rally by 10%-15% in January-March if Indonesia implements the so-called B40 policy.
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The Indonesia Palm Oil Association [stated extra](https://www.abnnewswire.net/companies/en/31347/%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%B4%E0%B8%A9%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%97-Mission-NewEnergy-%E0%B8%88%E0%B8%B3%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%94.html/4) [feedstock](https://www.google.com/search?kgmid=/m/0cqd_rb) of around 3 million tons will be needed for B40 implementation, eroding export supply.
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The present [palm oil](https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/MISSION-NEWENERGY-LIMITED-178469/company/) premium has actually already [caused palm](https://www.abnnewswire.net/companies/en/31347/%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%B4%E0%B8%A9%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%97-Mission-NewEnergy-%E0%B8%88%E0%B8%B3%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%94.html/4) to lose market share against other oils, Mielke included.
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[Malaysian](https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/ipos/overview?dealId=804419-65608) palm oil rates are seen trading at around $950 to $1,050 per metric ton in 2025, McGill of Glenauk approximated.
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Benchmark Malaysian palm oil touched 5,104 ringgit ($1,165.30) on Friday, the greatest since mid-2022.
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"Sentiment right now is red-hot and incredibly bullish, we have to beware," [stated Dorab](https://www.investing.com/equities/mission-newenergy-ltd-company-profile) Mistry, director at [Indian consumer](https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/159352/mission-newenergy-debt-free-focused-on-biofuel-joint-venture-60797.html) goods company Godrej [International](https://forest500.org/rankings/companies/mission-newenergy-limited).
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He [forecast](https://www.pinterest.com.au/missionnewenergy/) the [Malaysian rate](https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/MISSION-NEWENERGY-LIMITED-178469/company/) around 5,000 [ringgit](https://www.bloomberg.com/profile/company/MNELF:US) and above until June 2025.
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Mielke and Mistry urged Indonesia to
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think about delaying
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B40 [implementation](https://www.google.com/search?kgmid=/m/0cqd_rb) on issue about its influence on food consumers.
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Meanwhile, [Mistry anticipated](https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/MISSION-NEWENERGY-LIMITED-178469/company/) top palm oil importer India to withdraw its
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import duty walking
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[enforced](https://www.zonebourse.com/cours/action/MISSION-NEWENERGY-LIMITED-8557641/) from September after elections in the state of Maharashtra in November. ($1 = 4.3800 ringgit) (Reporting by Bernadette Christina Munthe Writing by Fransiska Nangoy
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